Economic Impact Of Successful E-Cat Technology

If Andrea Rossi’s E-Cat home device proves to be market viable, the implications to the world economy will be mixed. You would assume that individual, home, area, and national economies would be “set free” with the widespread use of E-Cat power plants. But, is that really what would happen?

FOSSIL FUEL
The use of fossil fuel is integral to the functioning of the current economies. From individual budgets to entire cities, fossil fuels provide the power that keeps electric power plants running and fuel private transportation. In fact, conspiracy theorists put forth that the reason the world is still so dependent on fossil fuels is that the oil companies “buy up” the rights to any affordable alternative forms of energy in order to maintain their grip on the power base of need.

The mining, drilling, refining, transport, and distribution of fossil fuels are the biggest economic factors that shape the planet. Not only are countries’ economies formed around the support systems that provide fossil fuels, but much of the military action that takes place across the globe is over the power that comes with unlimited control of fossil fuels.

E-CAT TECHNOLOGY
Low Energy Nuclear Reaction technology and cold fusion have been the “Holy Grail” of science for decades. From the first nuclear power plant, scientists have striven to produce a source of power comparative to hot fusion, but without the radioactive waste and inherent danger of nuclear power. Low Energy Nuclear Reaction, or LENR technology has come into the spotlight and out again as an unattainable source of power.

However, Andrea Rossi currently has a patent pending for a home-sized power plant, and is already offering for sale a 1MW power plant for commercial use. This type of power is generated by a combination of nickel powder and hydrogen. Both of the fuel sources are plentiful. While nickel powder is toxic, it is contained in a sealed canister that contains the resulting reaction. When the fuel canister is exhausted, it is easily disposed of and replaced.

Rossi himself describes the unit as a water heater. This is a classic understatement of the power generated in theory by the small E-Cat units. The small units would provide heat for an entire home, and heat the water for it as well. The pending impact on the fossil fuel industry, if every home could be heated without coal oil or natural gas, would be crippling.

COLLAPSE OF AN INFRASTRUCTURE
Home heating alone is capable of making a staggering impact on the use of fossil fuels. The chain of supply and demand begins with the individual consumer. All larger infrastructures are built for the support of the individuals that choose to group together in communities. These communities require support systems in the form of governmental agencies, places of employment, and all of the other systems that accompany civilization. This is what creates the supply and demand upon which the fossil fuel industry is built.

If individuals could get basic heating for their homes without the use of fossil fuels, the foundation of the fossil fuel industry would begin to crumble. If the alternative fuel source is limited to small consumption by individuals – which adds up to a massive body of consumption – the fossil fuel juggernaut will falter, but survive. There is still the need for personal and mass transportation, civic, and government power needs, and the support of industry.
These remaining consumers will have to pay more for the power that they receive, which will be passed down to the individual through the costs of other products. The fossil fuel industry is not going to suffer silently. If this industry can’t stop individuals from purchasing their own heating source, they will have to make the income up somewhere. The industry can’t keep its power plants and refineries running without it (at least for now).

RAMPING DOWN
It is a possibility that the fossil fuel industry would actually begin to ramp down. Many industries have had to restructure themselves as demand for their products has shifted. However, in many of these cases, it is because the product being consumed is being imported from countries in which production is much cheaper. This causes native manufacturers to suffer, often moving their operations overseas. In the case of fossil fuels, most countries still import the majority of their supplies. The importation of crude supplies of fossil fuels would be reduced, causing the basic areas of production to suffer from economic impact.

The source, transport, and destinations of fossil fuels would have to be restructured on a global scale. All because individuals would be finally able to survive freezing winters with their own personal E-Cat unit, without having to chop wood or give their money to industrial fossil fuels.

Good or bad? You be the judge of that.

20 total comments on this postSubmit yours
  1. Broken window fallacy. Sure, the coal and heating oil industry may get hurt or even collapse, but that isn’t necessarily a bad thing. Might as well claim that we should require everyone to keep buying horseshoes to keep the horseshoe industry alive.

    Letting obsolete industries fade is a good thing. Certainly the elimination of the pollution created by use of coal and heating oil won’t be missed. But you might say that the coal workers and oil delivery drivers will be hurt. But obsolete jobs should fade too. There will be plenty of new jobs involving the lenr devices.

    And yes, water heaters and furnaces as we know them will fade too.

  2. Fossil Fuels are a plague on our planet and on our pocket book. A significant percentage of your energy bill goes to support war and terrorism in oil producing nations. The most pain that we will see from the reduction of fossil fuels will be having to see how much harm we were doing by using so much of them. Of course, I’m not even mentioning the fact that oil and natural gas are already near their peak production levels (or perhaps even beyond them), and that their further expansion in use is not only impossible, but would poison us all. It is difficult for me to think of a single major world problem that will not be aided by the reduction of fossil fuel usage through new technologies such as LENR.

  3. Everyone needs to realize that LENR is going to take several decades to transition…

    A little understanding of the task at hand & a little math and you can figure at least a 100 Billion E-cat cells being required to fill the demand. Probably many 10′s of Billions more. Reality has it’s own limitations on how fast things change.

    If E-cats can be developed to produce Electricity at individual homes, they will have to have the total capability of producing at least 5 times what current Electrical plants produce now per home. This is because without being connected to the grid, you have to build them for peek demand per household instead of peek demand per population center.

    As for worrying about Big Oil surviving, Does anyone really think that Corporations that can produce 30 Billion a year in profits can’t buy into this new technology at will. They’ll be first in line to buy stocks or to buy the company outright. Exxon Mobil E-cats anyone.

    People are naive. How many Corporations today sell products totally different from when they started. Many. They adapt to new technology as it changes or they fail. This is how it always works. With LENR technology they have years to adapt. Most of them will.

  4. > at least a 100 Billion E-cat cells being required to fill the demand

    World’s population is less than 7 billions. Why you think everyone needs 14 E-cats?

    • Not sure where you saw 100 billion E-Cats mentioned in the article? Or are you replying to one of the other comments?

      As for your other question, based on the info we have so far from Andrea Rossi, one family would only need one E-Cat home device to heat an average house.

    • This isn’t meant as an attack on your statement. It’s an explanation of where the 100 billion comes from.

      People don’t comprehend their daily demands. We tend to take everything for granted. Peek demand isn’t something the average person gives a thought to until it’s in the news when a blackout occurs. Only then when their one of those directly effected & most still don’t take the time to understand it.

      Your response is proof of that. There’s also a lack of understanding of a 10Kw E-cat. Especially if every home is to be off the main grid.

      The 10Kw (200`C potential) E-cat that Rossi displayed has (3) cores. A 30%+ Electric conversion produces approximately 3Kw to 3.3Kw.

      1. Fire up the cloths dryer.- This requires (3)-10Kw E-cats that equal 10Kw electric. 4.8Kw just to feed power to the E-cats to keep them running. The remaining 5.2Kw to run the dryer.

      2. It’s a family get together. -Wife fires up electric range using 3 or 4 burners & the oven. (6)-10Kw e-cats equal 20Kw electric. 48% goes to feed the E-cats. 52% remains to feed the electric range.

      3. Things are heating up with the clothes dryer & cooking. The A/C kicks in. (3) more E-cats at 48% — 52%.

      4. Your Electric car is plugged in being charged as all the above is going on. possibly (5) more E-cats give or take 1. Maybe when their range is extended, you’ll have 2 per household.

      5. An array of other things are being used intermittently. Daughters 1500 watt blow dryer, the Refrigerator, TV, Computer. A freezer if you have one. best figure (3) more E-cats.

      These all add up to your peek demand.
      Above I’ve listed 20 E-cats in use during a probable/possible peek demand situation. Some homes may need more. Some less. It depends on people’s toys & conveniences. Do you want to wait an hour or two occasionally or do you want instant convenience.

      20 E-cats * 3 cores=60 cores.
      U.S.–150 million homes*60 is 9 Billion cores required.
      U.S. Makes up about 5% of the World population. Now 7 Billion plus.
      If the rest of the World attains our standard of living, you could multiply 9 Billion by 20. That’s 180 Billion cores required or 60 Billion 10Kw E-cats.

      World Maritime shipping of 50,000 plus (Equivalent of 300 Million cars on the road) could require up to 2 Billion cores. This doesn’t include millions of private vessels, yachts, or Navel vessels.

      These numbers don’t even include the Fact that Businesses/Corporations Both public&private use 60% of all energies. (Excludes Individual Electric/transportation use) Doesn’t count the new businesses that presently don’t exist that will become feasible with a cheap energy source. Nor the hundreds of millions of cores needed that probably will be used for water desalinizing in the world.
      Approximately 30 years after this transition starts, it will be time to start replacing them. Estimated life of an E-cat…

      These numbers are based on the current Rossi 10Kw E-cat design. These numbers are all subject to change with advancements.

      Supposed Experiments by Rossi & others indicate higher Kw Capacity per core may be feasible in the future. Higher COP’s. Self-Sustaining could cut it by a third or breakthroughs in conversion to electric. Maybe all the above.

      I’m more aware then most people posting here only because I’ve worked in fields that’s required me to think beyond the Obvious.

      Otherwise, I would also think 100 Billion cores. Is he nuts… If the present E-cat core doesn’t change or improve, 100 Billion cores wouldn’t be nearly adequate.

      This doesn’t require us to think outside the Box… It requires us to think outside our own little worlds we live in. The World Demands are much bigger then most of us imagine or comprehend. All the BP Oil that spilled into the Gulf for months was the Equivalent of about 4 hours of U.S. yearly demand.

      • Your calculation of the number of cores necessary to satisfy peak demand assumes that all energy is derived directly from the ecats to meet the demand. The number of cores actually required to fulfill domestic demand would be closer to the average Kw, calculated by dividing the total daily electrical consumption by 24. Batteries can be used to store power during periods of lower demand. During peak demand, batteries will supplement the ecats.

  5. Omega Z is working for the Illuminati.

  6. Does anybody think, LENR will come to the market without the will of the elite, thats owning the banks and the fossil-fuel-market ?

    Go back to the years 1912-1913 and to the federal reserve act – you know whoms plans skipped Teslas technologies and sold controllable power to the world -

    Do you think, they let this imperium go ?

    Look whats going on in the financial world and in the worldwide economy – maybe they don´t need to control the fossil-fuel-market anymore.

    I wish Rossi could make his dreams come true.

    All the best an god with you, Mr Rossi.

  7. You are probably right, but like many alarmist prediction those days it is based on adding raw numbers and presenting them to common people who don’t imagin the real size of the world.

    it you look at my table top computation,
    http://www.lenrforum.eu/viewtopic.php?f=3&t=27
    base on defkalion hyperion running 33% efficient turbine+alternator
    all you have is that:
    to replace all energy on the planet (transportation, heating, electricity…)
    it consume <10% of annual nickel (assuming total consumption, no recycling, if you read Brillouin you can imagine that nickel consumption will be null, since if well tuned , it is a catalyst only).
    about building cost, it use 6 month of GDP to build all hyperions needed (assuming todays planned technology, no progress).

    if you imagine the transition tale 10 years, you can invest 5% of GDP to save 90% of energetic bill.

    I don't care that it is billions of device, since the planet can build much more than thousands of billions of things, and already consume petawats…

    how it can be done is uncertain, but provided no GosPlan (or green subsidies) try to impose stupid solution, it can be done in parallel, cost will be reduced by 10 or 100, and application will spread without any central planning…

    anyway, even if occidental countries try to plan stupidly like today, the emerging countries will do it the right way, this mean independently, in parallel, with intelligent support of the state (good open regulation, uncertainty risk insurance, central bank financing of efficient projects)… sure China will do it well, even if as a state it explode like USSR.

  8. Small side note. The fossil fuel industry will shrink. But, I dont think Rossi has worked out how to make the raw materials for plastic from his process. Plastics will keep the fossil fuel industry alive at some level.

    However, another side note….if LENT works….derived from LENR….maybe they could make the raw materials for plastic?

    Time will tell.

  9. Before we all get too excited by the “economic impact of the E-CAT” we have to remember that not one E-Cat device has ever been produced and sold to a
    non secret customer and not even one device has ever been independently tested!
    Maybe we should consider first whether there is such a device!

    • It is true that ther is a small risk, that neither Defkalion, nor Rossi, nor Brillouin, nor Pianteli, nor Celani, nor Miley, nor Pirelly Fondation, have even early version of a usable technology…

      anyway, the risk is s low that it might be rational to prepare for that possibility taht have huge impact.

  10. To delay a technology that can save millions of lives because it is an economic hardship on the fossil fuel industry is unthinkable if not criminal.

    • You’re right, but at least for the sake of the debate it’s still worth considering and your comment was inspirational, as we’ve just published a new article, specifically focused on this aspect.

  11. Right now is the perfect time for LENR introduction because oil & coal are historically quite expensive. But thinking it through further, one realizes that as LENR devices cut fossil fuel use and demand, oil & coal will become cheaper until the infrastructure to support it gradually shrinks. (Also, those with large remaining oil reserves may begin to sell oil faster at lower prices once they perceive their market opportunity closing.)

    Cheaper oil will somewhat slow the adoption of the new devices in developed countries, but will not eliminate the appeal of no longer having to continually purchase fuel supplies. The greatly reduced fuel costs all around is a reason the transition will take several decades. Unfortunately, that will somewhat delay the environmental benefits as well.

    But as equipment reaches the end of its useful life, it will surely be replaced with LENR-powered versions. World economies will still benefit enormously from lower energy costs. And LENR-producing companies will have good cause to keep their prices reasonable, to maintain the growth of their market.

    • Interesting points, but how likely is it that LENR devices would lower the price of a resource that’s close to being depleted? And I’m referring strictly to oil here.

  12. Interesting article. The key to early introduction of LENT/LENR is to sell it to the utility industry. i.e. Encourage electric utilities to offset their grid customer losses with manufacture, installation and maintenance of branded LENR water heaters and Combined Heat and Power CHP units (e-cat, Hyperion equiv). This brings a powerful energy player into the LENR fold and provides them with a viable new revenue stream.

    Utility companies are both private and municipal sectors. If e.g. Con Ed in NY and FPL Florida Power and Light in Florida and Pacific Gas & Electric in Cali all branded their own e-cat CHP units and sold them to their customers – they would have revenue to replace the loss of the monthly meter loss. Won’t be as big as they had before LENR – but hey, that’s the cost of doing business in the high tech era!

    If utilities (and by connection oil. coal and gas) have a soft landing during transition to LENR – chances are greater for swifter adoption.

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